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pokerrocker 06-28-10 11:06 PM

odds
 
I have a question for you guys, What if I’m down to 7 big blinds in a tournament, what’s the probability that the 4 players behind me will fold given that I have 98s and that they will call my all-in with 66+ or AK-AT?

DaNutFullHouse 07-02-10 11:39 PM

Depends on their stack sizes, and honestly I think the calling range is a bit wider than that. However, the first number that came to mind is that you get all folds about 70% of the time.

mrkromer 07-07-10 11:04 AM

What you hold doesn't matter; they don't know what you have. If you push all in and you only have 7 BBs and they have like double that or more, they're calling with just about any reasonable hand.

mike

Jack Attack 07-30-10 06:42 PM

I get about 50% if they would call with face10+, Ax and 66+, which I think they probably would...If I were stuck in that position(7BBs) with 4 potential callers, assuming the table is full, It was not bubble time, and I feel the players behind me are smart enough to call correctly...I wouldn't shove from that spot without KJ+/A9+ or a PP...you're likely to get called, especially if they have double+ in chips...In that spot I would like to believe I am not behind around 60%+ if I get called......you still have 6 more hands before the SB to catch a premium 3% hand(like AJ+,1010+), or an 18% chance of catching those cards..and whether at 7BB or 5.5BB, you are still in the same neighborhood as far as the likelihood of getting called...personally, I would prefer to wait and get blinded a bit(20-25 hands) vs shove, knowing that I am beat and that I am going to get called...the problem is, once you fall below 9 or 10 BBs, your desperation goes up and your opponents hands open up...that's just a bad spot to be in....Good Luck!


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