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Well, look at it this way: You are looking for only 1 card out of a possible 47 unseen cards. Your odds of hitting it on the turn are 1 out of 47 or roughly 2%. Chances of getting it with two cards to come are closer to 4% or one out of 24.
For a full understanding of poker math, I recommend Sklansky's book: Theory of Poker.
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