View Single Post
  #86  
Old 09-25-07, 04:27 PM
uberfilth uberfilth is offline
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 1
Wow Nathan, you must be the most stupid person I've ever seen. Where do I even start?
For a start I was curious as to why you were playing J5 in the first place. I'm guessing the pot was raised with aces, but I could be wrong, so I'll leave that and assume you were in the big blind, or are an idiot...
So the flop comes and makes your 2 pair, and you slowplay, fair enough, although the 5 could easily be counterfeited on a later street. So the "dumbass" goes all in with aces. Hardly a terrible play, given the nature of the flop - he can't be expecting clowns to be playing trash like J5. Anyway, I digress. So he turns an ace, thus proving that the site is rigged against you, with his one outer. However, I've just checked a standard pack of cards - DEAR LORD! THERE'S 4 ACES IN THERE!! Weird. Ok, so I'm being picky - he had a 2 outer. But wait... Another 2 would in fact have you beaten (I'll give you some time to think about that). So he's really got a 5 outer. Still, you're right - you're still the favourite. However, let's think about it for a minute. Forget the 2, what are the odds of him hitting the ace? You've got 2 cards, he's got 2 cards, there's 3 on the board. So there's 45 cards left in the deck, and only 2 aces. So... back to school. What are the odds of hitting that? I'm going to take a stab at 1 in 22.5. So, once in every 23 hands or so, you should expect to see that ace. Consider how many hands you play. That's going to happen a lot. He could also hit it on the river, so it's twice as likely to happen - nearly one in ten. People win the (uk) lottery at odds of nearly 14 million to one - one in ten is pretty likely to happen, huh? Anyway, I've rambled enough. The actual odds of him beating you (by the river) are about 27%. Just over 1 in 4. Hardly conclusive proof the site is rigged, is it. So back to the post. He made his ace on the turn. Like you say, it's just a shame you didn't make your 5 on the river to beat him (another 2 outer, by the way) with you full house. Oh wait... you'd have 5s full of jacks. Last time I checked, that loses to Aces full of 5s. Idiot.

The other hand you don't really give us enough information - the board must have paired on the turn, otherwise his three 8s couldn't beat your nut flush. Anyway, how much of your $100 did you have left by then? He might have been going up against you with you only having $50 left - pretty short in the $2 games. Maybe the reason you lost all your money is because you put in $100 - HALF a buyin on the $2 tables, and were the victim of a little bit of variance. Even the pros (who, of course, have this site rigged for them) could easily lose $100 on the $2 tables before turning a profit. Try reading about bankroll management somewhere, if you can read.

Then you descend into your homoerotic fantasies, which I can't criticise at all - good for you, stand up for what you believe in. Homosexual rape. You truly are a credit to the human race.