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You can easily get Billy's payouts on the official poker ranking site and what he is saying is true. He did win that much.
In terms of the pre-flop - post flop arguement - he is correct also. It is what the odds were at the time all the money went in (Christ - that is pretty basic or we would just call this Texas Pocket Cards). If an ace hits the flop with no Jack - Billy goes away quietly and says - damn - bad flop. What hit was the J. It put him in the position of being all in and he was - AT THAT TIME - facing a player that was down to two outs.
That was the point of the post. On FT - you constantly get into positions where you are a dominant fav - you act accordingly - then you get punished.
I have had the cash out curse experience as well (although for only a meager $4K). For two years I was in the 95 percenttile of players. After I cashed - I am in the 60 percentile. I did not get bad all of a sudden nor did I experience the same decline in live games. Anyway - that is Billy's point. You cash - you lose.
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