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  #599  
Old 05-09-09, 10:11 AM
buck22 buck22 is offline
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 117
No.1 I do not trust Full Tilt at all and will never play there for this reason. Denethor, on a table of 9 players, when you have KK some one else will have AA just under 4% of the time so it happens but not that often. However, being a great poker player isnt about always following the book, you've got to learn how to exploit the way others are playing eg the tosspot who called you with QK didnt make as big a mistake as he should because he got your whole stack. Like so:

Suppose you both start $1500

you raise 60 preflop then 240 on the flop

with QK he will lose $240 86% of the time

and win $1500 14% of the time

so your expected value (EV) is as follows:

(240x0.86)-(1500x0.14)= -$3.6

So even though he made what looked like a donkey play, and he probably didnt know this but he made the right play. You can blame luck but play this hand a million times and you'll be down around $3.6million.

Now, if you had checked it down when the scary overcard came along then:

you would win $240 86%
and lose $240 14%

(240x0.86)-(240x0.14)= +$172.80

It's these huge differences in mistakes that grinds the profit, so even though i think full tilt is dodgy, i think you'll have problems where ever you go unless you improve your game.