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  #84  
Old 04-05-05, 07:39 PM
RioCosta
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Posts: n/a
Another Basic Play

First of all, if you let three people into the flop with the pocket aces, then it's your damn fault. Honestly unless they are all playing premium hands (in which case their cards pretty much cancel each other's out and give you an even better chance to win) you fucked up with the raise. Unless you went all in and three other people called (which is pretty unlikely unless you're playing with a table so bad it would cause the universe to explode).


1,086,008 pots with board cards: (unspecified)

AcAs AhQh KdKh QcQs
% chance of outright win 64.133782 7.546445 18.741114 7.718636
% chance of win or split 65.276315 9.406468 19.168367 8.863379
expected return, % of pot 64.598235 8.369644 18.847927 8.184194
fair pot odds:1 0.548030 10.947940 4.305623 11.218674
pots won: 701542.00 90895.00 204690.00 88881.00

1,086,008 pots with board cards: (unspecified)

AcAs AhKh QcQs KsKd
% chance of outright win 63.810211 8.713564 15.687453 10.577823
% chance of win or split 64.943076 9.924513 16.114798 11.083252
expected return, % of pot 64.269807 9.212202 15.794290 10.723701
fair pot odds:1 0.555941 9.855168 5.331402 8.325139
pots won: 697975.25 100045.25 171527.25 116460.25

1,086,008 pots with board cards: (unspecified)

AcAs AhJh QcQs TcTd
% chance of outright win 55.659074 9.860056 16.672990 16.788919
% chance of win or split 56.678036 10.879017 16.955400 17.071329
expected return, % of pot 56.097952 10.298934 16.743592 16.859521
fair pot odds:1 0.782596 8.709743 4.972434 4.931367
pots won: 609228.25 111847.25 181836.75 183095.75

Honestly, these are likely never to happen in because by the first or second call people without the best of the best hands (like mr AJs right here) will be 99% sure to fold). Gosh, the guy made the right play, the right play just doesn't win all the time, especially if you get enough bad plays against you.

The guy was in late position, went all in and got called by probably one or two dumbasses too many.

I can't imagine this happening in real life. If you were playing online (because 75% of the people online are a breed of sub-mongoloids).then it's probably more likely, but really only at incredibly low stakes. I couldn't imagine someone risk their 100 dollar buy in on q10 suited, now matter how bad they are.