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[eldave1]

And if you really want to drive yourself nutty - keep track of all hands where you lose it all or at least 2/3rds of your stack (i.e., the crippling hands) - that as where you will find that the odds go out the window. e.g., I win KK 67.35% of the time when all hands are counted. Hoowever, when it is for an all in - my tourney life at stake = I win less then 40% In addition, I come up against AA far more than expected. The odds of AA and KK being on the same table are 4.39% - However, in all in showdowns - I have run across AA four times (20%) of that amount. Keep track of how many times when facing all ins you:

a) win when you are a fav
b) win when you are a dog

If you experience is like mine - you will find that you win as a fav (again - this is just for showdowns) - 50% or less and you win as a dog 20% or less. You would be happy if these were 50-50 since at least the cards were going both ways - but they don't.

Anyway - I ignore everything statistically other that where was I in the hand (fav or dog and by how much) when all the chips went in - and - the numbers do not ring true.