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Old 02-05-09, 02:02 PM
eldave1 eldave1 is offline
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 56
I have heard the larger number of hands, the more players arguement and have never been convinced. If there are 100,000 players on the site versus a 100, the odds should not change (i.e., AA should beat 55 80% of the time regardless).

To Billy: - if you do start collecting hand stats be careful in the analysis. For example, I have won KK 74% of the time overall including where there was no call of my raise. HOWEVER, only 43% of the time when facing an all in showdown (and yes - most of those times I was the predominant
preflop favorite). So - to really see the rigging, you need to look at all in showdowns and especially focus on hands where at least half your stack is at stake. The second thing I examined in "all in showdowns" was whether or not I was the favorite at the time all the chips went in. 84% of the time I was the fav - I won 48% of those. In the 16% of the times I was the dog - I lost 90% of the time. What it told me was it did not matter if I played tight or loose - either way I was going to lose. And again - many of those favs that lose are to inexplicable calls (the last tourney I played I had K10 in the BB - flop is 10h-10d-2c - rainbow. I shove knowing you cannot slowplay this site and get called by 8c 7c - turn is 5c, river Ac, - I lose and am out on the bubble again.

You can get Poker Tracker free for 90 days - it is neat in that it will replay your hands.

Last note - several months ago I had a computer hard drive failure and I emailed Full Tilt asking for all my hands from 2008 - they would not send them because in their words - teh volume was too big. I think BS.

Anyway. GL
 

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