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  #1  
Old 06-28-10, 10:06 PM
pokerrocker pokerrocker is offline
 
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 64
odds

I have a question for you guys, What if I’m down to 7 big blinds in a tournament, what’s the probability that the 4 players behind me will fold given that I have 98s and that they will call my all-in with 66+ or AK-AT?
  #2  
Old 07-02-10, 10:39 PM
DaNutFullHouse DaNutFullHouse is offline
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 19
Depends on their stack sizes, and honestly I think the calling range is a bit wider than that. However, the first number that came to mind is that you get all folds about 70% of the time.
  #3  
Old 07-07-10, 10:04 AM
mrkromer mrkromer is offline
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 75
What you hold doesn't matter; they don't know what you have. If you push all in and you only have 7 BBs and they have like double that or more, they're calling with just about any reasonable hand.

mike
  #4  
Old 07-30-10, 05:42 PM
Jack Attack Jack Attack is offline
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 5
I get about 50% if they would call with face10+, Ax and 66+, which I think they probably would...If I were stuck in that position(7BBs) with 4 potential callers, assuming the table is full, It was not bubble time, and I feel the players behind me are smart enough to call correctly...I wouldn't shove from that spot without KJ+/A9+ or a PP...you're likely to get called, especially if they have double+ in chips...In that spot I would like to believe I am not behind around 60%+ if I get called......you still have 6 more hands before the SB to catch a premium 3% hand(like AJ+,1010+), or an 18% chance of catching those cards..and whether at 7BB or 5.5BB, you are still in the same neighborhood as far as the likelihood of getting called...personally, I would prefer to wait and get blinded a bit(20-25 hands) vs shove, knowing that I am beat and that I am going to get called...the problem is, once you fall below 9 or 10 BBs, your desperation goes up and your opponents hands open up...that's just a bad spot to be in....Good Luck!
 


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